Snapshot · Scenario: Base Case · Data Confidence: 91.0% • org: demo
Value Enginepremium multiple track
Every +1 ERS ≈ $829,000
ERS 78
Implied valuation (now)
$72,493,000
Target @ ERS 80
$75,870,000
Mode
Hover badges for provenance & guardrails
Guest (demo)Freshness ✓Coverage 91.0%Guardrails ✓
Governance & Data Room
Exit Readiness
ERS • $829,000/pt
78
ARR
Annual Recurring Revenue
$1,910,000
EBITDA Margin
Operating profitability
EBITDA %
22.5%
Churn
Customer attrition
Churn %
5.4%
YoY Growth
Topline growth
Current: 42.0%
Valuation Trajectory
ARR × Multiple (forecast band)
Current estimate $8,000,000Projected $11,200,000 (4.1× → target 5.0×)
ERS 78 → 80 • Δ$ per ERS: $829,000 • Multiple uplift: 0.9×
Valuation Intelligence
Investor narrative — why this will compound
- • Each +1 ERS unlocks $829,000 incremental value in the current model.
- • Target multiple uplift: 0.9× (22% premium vs now).
- • Forecast exit value @ ERS 80: $75,870,000.
Path to Target (ERS → 80)Δ$ per ERS $829,000
Improve Gross Margin
+1.2 ERSOwner: Ops • ETA: 14d
- • Renegotiate infra & COGS; reserve 20% traffic to cheapest capacity.
- • Standardize procurement cadence (monthly).
ERS $
$994,800
ARR $
$207,000
Total
$1,200,000
Expansion Revenue Program
+0.6 ERSOwner: Growth • ETA: 21d
- • Usage-based overage tier (pricing pack).
- • Top-decile accounts with CSM playbook.
ERS $
$497,400
ARR $
$2,100,000
Total
$2,600,000
Churn Defense
+0.4 ERSOwner: Success • ETA: 10d
- • NPS→CES handoffs; success plans per discount-risk accounts.
- • Proactive saver offers on risk cohort.
ERS $
$331,600
ARR $
$0
Total
$331,600
Confidence Footnotes
Why you can trust these numbers.
- • Freshness meets SLA <6h for green.
- • Coverage shows populated fields across critical sources.
- • Stability monitors drift; guardrail ≤ 500 ppm.
- • Reconciliation compares to ERP; threshold ≤ 0.75%.
Governance & Data Room
Provenance, KPI dictionary, audit logs.